منابع مشابه
Health care reform in the 2008 presidential primaries.
/A s noted previously in thisjournal,health care ^ = ^ reform has again become a central political X JA-issue (Gorin & Moniz, 2007). This article examines the health care debate in the presidential primary campaigns and considers implications for future health pohcy. As of this writing, no candidate on either side has officially won their party's nomination. Consequently, we focus on the positi...
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Given the fluid context of primaries and observed swings in national polls, many Democratic voters likely switched candidate support over the course of the 2008 primary campaign. We examine how perceptions of early caucus and primary outcomes subsequently affected voter choice and candidate momentum. Although the 2008 calendar left many voters with a brief window to assess candidates, it noneth...
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This paper provides an investigation of the role of momentum and social learning in sequential voting systems. In the econometric model, voters are uncertain over candidate quality, and voters in late states attempt to infer the information held by those in early states from voting returns. Candidates experience momentum effects when their performance in early states exceeds expectations. The e...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Journal of Politics
سال: 1986
ISSN: 0022-3816,1468-2508
DOI: 10.2307/2131010